Aug 4, 2022Using the US 2-Year Treasury as a Predictor for the Fed Funds RateSince 1996, the 2-Year Treasury has been a good predictor for the path of the Fed Funds Rate. Here using the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis monthly data, we see that the Effective Fed Funds Rate follow the 2-Year CMT in rate runups in 1999, 2004–2006, 2016–2018 and now…Interest Rates1 min readInterest Rates1 min read
Feb 22, 2022Federal Reserve Notes in CirculationFederal Reserve data showing number of Federal Reserve Notes in circulation. Since 2017 there have been more $100 notes than $1 notes. In 2018, the Chicago Fed estimated that 80% of $100 notes are overseas. Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com #fed #federalreserve #banks #bank #banking #money #dollar #inflations #interestMoney1 min readMoney1 min read
Feb 21, 2022Manhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits UpdateManhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits are below 1990 levels. It appears that tenants move out and new ones do not move in so no new repairs or upgrades being made. Looking at details from 2010 to 2019, monthly permits varied but centered around 3500 per month. Early in the pandemic…Commercial Real Estate1 min readCommercial Real Estate1 min read
Feb 15, 2022Where to Buy Affordable Used Cars?Many Americans are concerned about the high cost of used cars, especially after seeing a 45% year-on-year increase according to the Manheim Used Vehicle Index. They are asking: “Why are used cars so expensive?” The main reason was that in the last two years, a continuing shortage of computer chips…Economy2 min readEconomy2 min read
Feb 2, 2022How Your Perspective Determines Your SuccessSeven minutes with MIT Professor and CEO of Bose Corporation Amar Bose and the story of two engineering students. Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.comMotivation1 min readMotivation1 min read
Jan 20, 2022Manhattan Building PermitsWe may be seeing the beginning of the bottom for Manhattan permit data. Looking at the December 2021 NYC Department of Buildings permit data, we see a month-on-month increase of 21% for non-residential, other (non 1–3 family) buildings. For December 2020 to December 2021 change, data shows permits were down…Commercial Real Estate2 min readCommercial Real Estate2 min read
Jan 12, 2022Used Car/Truck Price DataConsumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Used Cars and Trucks in U.S. City Average -YoY % Change Dec 2021 => +57% Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.comAutomobile1 min readAutomobile1 min read
Dec 27, 2021Steve Jobs @ MIT 1992 -“What’s the most important thing that you personally learned at Apple…?”Jobs says “Good question,” and then a long pause. #Apple #SteveJobs #Software #Macintosh #business #computer #technology #innovation #teams #teamwork Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.comApple1 min readApple1 min read
Dec 22, 2021User Vehicle Price Increase in the Last YearCox Automotive Inc. and Manheim data show wholesale used vehicle prices increased 3.1% in the first 15 days of December compared to the month of November. This brought the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index to 239.8, a 48.9% increase from December 2020. As was the case in October and November…Lending1 min readLending1 min read
Nov 10, 2021US CPI % Change versus Bitcoin $ PriceLast 12 Months of CPI % Change (All Items) versus Bitcoin Price Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com #CPI #inflation #economy #economics #bitcoin #bitcoinnews#btc #btcnews #btcusd #cryptocurrencies #cryptocurrecy #cryptocurrencynews #crypto #cryptoassets #cryptoasset #business #innovation #technolgyBitcoin1 min readBitcoin1 min read
