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Paul Mangione
Paul Mangione

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Aug 4, 2022

Using the US 2-Year Treasury as a Predictor for the Fed Funds Rate

Since 1996, the 2-Year Treasury has been a good predictor for the path of the Fed Funds Rate. Here using the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis monthly data, we see that the Effective Fed Funds Rate follow the 2-Year CMT in rate runups in 1999, 2004–2006, 2016–2018 and now…

Interest Rates

1 min read

Using the US 2-Year Treasury as a Predictor for the Fed Funds Rate
Using the US 2-Year Treasury as a Predictor for the Fed Funds Rate
Interest Rates

1 min read


Feb 22, 2022

Federal Reserve Notes in Circulation

Federal Reserve data showing number of Federal Reserve Notes in circulation. Since 2017 there have been more $100 notes than $1 notes. In 2018, the Chicago Fed estimated that 80% of $100 notes are overseas. Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com #fed #federalreserve #banks #bank #banking #money #dollar #inflations #interest

Money

1 min read

Federal Reserve Notes in Circulation
Federal Reserve Notes in Circulation
Money

1 min read


Feb 21, 2022

Manhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits Update

Manhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits are below 1990 levels. It appears that tenants move out and new ones do not move in so no new repairs or upgrades being made. Looking at details from 2010 to 2019, monthly permits varied but centered around 3500 per month. Early in the pandemic, there was a dramatic shift down, but then the beginning of a recovery in late 2020. Since then permits have been falling off, reaching 430 commercial building permits (non-residential, not 1–3 family properties) in January 2022.

Commercial Real Estate

1 min read

Manhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits Update
Manhattan Monthly Commercial Building Permits Update
Commercial Real Estate

1 min read


Feb 15, 2022

Where to Buy Affordable Used Cars?

Many Americans are concerned about the high cost of used cars, especially after seeing a 45% year-on-year increase according to the Manheim Used Vehicle Index. They are asking: “Why are used cars so expensive?” The main reason was that in the last two years, a continuing shortage of computer chips…

Economy

2 min read

Where to Buy Affordable Used Cars?
Where to Buy Affordable Used Cars?
Economy

2 min read


Feb 2, 2022

How Your Perspective Determines Your Success

Seven minutes with MIT Professor and CEO of Bose Corporation Amar Bose and the story of two engineering students. Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com

Motivation

1 min read

Motivation

1 min read


Jan 20, 2022

Manhattan Building Permits

We may be seeing the beginning of the bottom for Manhattan permit data. Looking at the December 2021 NYC Department of Buildings permit data, we see a month-on-month increase of 21% for non-residential, other (non 1–3 family) buildings. For December 2020 to December 2021 change, data shows permits were down…

Commercial Real Estate

2 min read

Manhattan Building Permits
Manhattan Building Permits
Commercial Real Estate

2 min read


Jan 12, 2022

Used Car/Truck Price Data

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Used Cars and Trucks in U.S. City Average -YoY % Change Dec 2021 => +57% Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com

Automobile

1 min read

Used Car/Truck Price Data
Used Car/Truck Price Data
Automobile

1 min read


Dec 27, 2021

Steve Jobs @ MIT 1992 -“What’s the most important thing that you personally learned at Apple…?”

Jobs says “Good question,” and then a long pause. #Apple #SteveJobs #Software #Macintosh #business #computer #technology #innovation #teams #teamwork Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com

Apple

1 min read

Apple

1 min read


Dec 22, 2021

User Vehicle Price Increase in the Last Year

Cox Automotive Inc. and Manheim data show wholesale used vehicle prices increased 3.1% in the first 15 days of December compared to the month of November. This brought the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index to 239.8, a 48.9% increase from December 2020. As was the case in October and November, much of the monthly increase was a result of the seasonal adjustment. The non-adjusted price increase through mid-December was 0.7%.

Lending

1 min read

User Vehicle Price Increase in the Last Year
User Vehicle Price Increase in the Last Year
Lending

1 min read


Nov 10, 2021

US CPI % Change versus Bitcoin $ Price

Last 12 Months of CPI % Change (All Items) versus Bitcoin Price Paul Mangione Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com #CPI #inflation #economy #economics #bitcoin #bitcoinnews#btc #btcnews #btcusd #cryptocurrencies #cryptocurrecy #cryptocurrencynews #crypto #cryptoassets #cryptoasset #business #innovation #technolgy

Bitcoin

1 min read

US CPI % Change versus Bitcoin $ Price
US CPI % Change versus Bitcoin $ Price
Bitcoin

1 min read

Paul Mangione

Paul Mangione

15 Followers

Fort Schuyler Advisors www.ftschuyler.com, ex Apollo Management, MIT EECS BS/MS.

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